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Energy Security & Infrastructure Protection

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$2 Million Award to Run Massachusetts Statewide Emergency Management Exercise Program

$2.7 Million Award to Support the Nation's Critical Infrastructure Protection Plan for Homeland Security

Bloomberg TV Interview Regarding DOE's Interim Blackout Report Released on November 19, 2003

Italian Blackout and Need for Investment in Electric Transmission

Issue Paper on Blackout: Blackout Potential Not Limited to Northeast Quadrant

Issue Paper on the Cascading Blackout: Why Wasn't the Power Outage Contained?

Issue Paper on U.S. Northeastern Blackout—
Recommends Actions to
Prevent Future Problems


CNBC Interview Regarding
Major Northeast U.S. and Canadian Power Outages on August 14, 2003



Assessing the Economic Impacts of Port Security Regulations

Cascading Blackout: Why Wasn't the Power Outage Contained?

Cyber Security and the Grid

Cyber Security Under the NERC Reliability Standards

Economic Cost of the Blackout

European Transmission Conundrum—More Outages Suffered and More Investment Required

Evaluation of U.S. Commercial Motor Carrier Industry Challenges and Opportunities

Grid Reliability

International Oil Facilities Are Top Infrastructure Target of Terrorists

Measuring the Economic Costs of Terrorist Attacks

NERC/CIP Cyber Security

Power Crisis: The Omission of Transmission

Terrorist Threats Against Energy Transmission Systems

Transmission Grid Frailty? Blackout Potential Not Limited to the Northeast Quadrant


Critical Infrastructure Protection

Implications of Cyber Security Standards for Electric Power Grid


Carbon Tools—InCaP, GEMS® GHGPortfolio™

Integrated Planning Model (IPM®)

Gas Market Model (GMM®)

Energy Asset Decision Support System (EADSS™)

Market Clearing Engine (MCE)—Gas Pipeline &
Market Model


MAPS™

PowerWorld®

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For more than 30 years, ICF International has advised both public- and private-sector clients in all areas of the energy industry, including the protection of the country's energy infrastructure. ICF International's energy expertise encompasses electric, natural gas, petroleum, coal, and renewables production and transmission systems.

To advise clients about protecting critical energy infrastructures, we model the production and transmission systems—considering the economics of power plants and pipelines, as well as the physical and electrical characteristics of the transmission grid. ICF International also models the natural gas sector, and tracks petroleum movements around the world to estimate the economic impact of physical disruptions.

To learn more about the competing pressures of grid operations, why containment failed, and recommendations on preventing future cascade occurrences, visit ICF International's special section on Understanding the 2003 Power Outages, Cascading Blackouts, & the Transmission Grid.

Learn more about ICF International's capabilities in homeland security and emergency management, including critical infrastructure protection.

Our Capabilities

ICF International began working on energy security issues in the 1970s, and was a key analytical resource for the U.S. Federal Government's Project Independence initiative to reduce the nation's exposure to imported oil. Over the past 30 years, ICF International has developed highly detailed computer models of the North American energy sector.

These models, and the firm's expert team of energy analysts, allow ICF International to perform bottoms-up analyses of the nation's energy infrastructure in order to assess vulnerabilities, develop hazard protection plans, analyze economic impacts of energy disruption, and develop mitigation plans to restore energy services.

ICF International can analyze detailed power flows on the electric transmission and distribution grids and assess interregional supply constraints. Detailed models of natural gas production and transportation, and oil disruption analyses allow ICF International to work with energy security teams to assess vulnerabilities and develop mitigation strategies.

Whether it's assessing the vulnerability of a highly strategic single node on the power grid or the entire Eastern Interconnect, ICF International has the detailed analytics, and combination of energy and emergency management expertise to develop effective security solutions for the United States' critical energy infrastructure.

Our Services

  • Conduct detailed modeling of the North American electric power generation and transmission system
  • Perform modeling and analysis of the North American natural gas production and transportation infrastructure
  • Assess crude oil and petroleum product delivery systems, including refinery operations
  • Identify vulnerabilities and potential hazards to the energy infrastructure
  • Establish safeguards to minimize hazards
  • Upgrade energy security contingency plans
  • Develop energy infrastructure response and recovery plans
  • Communicate energy emergency plans and actions to stakeholders
  • Train energy emergency management personnel
  • Design and conduct energy emergency exercises
  • Support operations during an energy emergency
  • Foster energy emergency coordination between federal, state, local, and private sector partners
  • Support government programs related to energy security
  • Design and implement emergency energy conservation and demand response programs
  • Develop economic strategies to foster increased redundancy in critical energy infrastructure

Selected Projects

Assessment of Natural Gas Pipeline Security. ICF performed an assessment of natural gas pipeline security that is being used to assist the natural gas pipeline industry in identifying critical infrastructure and developing appropriate security guidelines for the industry. The methodology evaluates potential impacts of a major disruption of natural gas infrastructure on energy markets under a wide range of conditions. ICF's Gas Market Model (GMM®) was used to develop scenarios that explored the impacts of potential natural gas pipeline outages on natural gas markets. The study considers the size and location of hypothetical outages and determines the market impact depending on the timing of the outage and weather conditions.

Evaluating Terrorist Threats Against Energy Transmission Systems. ICF International recently conducted the United States' first joint public and private sector exercise focusing on terrorist threats to electric power transmission systems for a federal client. Designed to test existing plans and educate key personnel on new threats and vulnerabilities, this exercise tested the capabilities of state, local, and private-sector organizations to jointly respond to an attack. We also analyzed the transmission load flow under multiple scenarios to evaluate potential contingencies and identify critical points of concern on the transmission network.

Evaluating Response Plans for the Boston, Massachusetts, Fire Department. In the wake of the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, the Boston Fire Department immediately revisited the risk associated with the marine transport of liquefied natural gas (LNG) through Boston Harbor and in contiguous areas where the impact of an event could affect the city. Our collaborative efforts included outreach to interested parties at the local, regional, and state levels, as well as reviewing risk management plans and identifying any potential gaps or conflicts. More sophisticated Standard Operating Procedures were also developed, including the recommendation for a dynamic response plan based on a conceptual decision tree that incorporates "real time" consequence assessment when responding to a fire event. Such an approach sharpens the technical focus of the response operations, which in turn minimizes the risk and increases the cost-effectiveness.

Vulnerability Assessment of a State and Regional Petroleum Infrastructure and Distribution System. ICF International analyzed the petroleum infrastructure and distribution system in New England for the Massachusetts Division of Energy Resources to establish a baseline for evaluating potential future energy and emergency planning policies. We analyzed trends in petroleum supply and demand, characterized terminal storage facilities and delivery systems, identified potential vulnerabilities, and suggested possible remedies.

Evaluating Terrorist Threats Against Dams. For one of the world's largest oil producers, ICF International engineers developed and implemented a Geotechnical Safety Program for earth structures, including three earth dams and numerous slopes with important infrastructure facilities. The safety program included an assessment of earth dam vulnerability to terrorist attack and engineering controls to mitigate the effects of such an attack. The safety program includes the following components:

  • performance criteria
  • design assessment
  • field measurement system
  • construction and safety assessments
  • surveillance
  • performance evaluations
  • remedial measures
  • contingency plans

Support to a European Government in the Area of Emergency Planning. ICF International is providing support to a European government currently developing an Emergency Action Plan. The specific country is highly dependent on petroleum, although natural gas is slowly beginning to make inroads. An internal law has recently been passed requiring the Minister of Development to mandate strategic petroleum stocks, specify who will hold the stocks and where, and outline an emergency plan in the event of a crude oil supply disruption. Implementation of a Ministerial Decree detailing the regulations is of high priority due to Middle East conflicts. ICF International has been retained to develop the emergency planning regulations that include both the use of strategic stocks and demand reduction regulations.

Vulnerability Assessment of Disruptions to Power Grid. For a Midwestern state, ICF International conducted a vulnerability assessment to determine the susceptibility of the state's energy infrastructure to a terrorism attack that could result in power grid disruptions. This assessment laid the foundation for an exercise requiring a unique public/private-sector approach to education and partnered problem-solving.

Developing a Geotechnical Safety Program for a Major Oil Company. For one of the world's largest oil producers, ICF International engineers developed and implemented a Geotechnical Safety Program for earth structures, including three earth dams and numerous slopes with important infrastructure facilities. The program included an assessment of earth dam vulnerability to terrorist attack and engineering controls to mitigate the effects of such an attack.

Kuwait Oil Fields Attack—Contamination and Environmental Sensitivity Index Mapping. The Gulf War of 1991 generated the largest oil spill in history and affected the coastlines of Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. Because of the local current, wind patterns, and configuration of the coastline, significant impacts to the shoreline occurred in Saudi Arabia. ICF International was part of an international team assisting the Saudi government's Meteorological and Environmental Protection Agency (MESA), in responding to the oil spill crisis. We collected and analyzed ground and aerial information concerning the type of shoreline and extent of the spill, as well as performed the contamination and Environmental Sensitivity Index (ESI) mapping. These activities were crucial to prioritize cleanup activities and protect sensitive resources. Each shoreline was also characterized in terms of preferred cleanup method and quantity of oiled material to be removed. This is the only map series of oil distribution in Saudi Arabia produced during the Gulf War oil spills and serves as a basis for future analyses of natural cleansing and the effects of the limited cleanup program.

Decommissioning of a Pesticide Plant. ICF International managed the decontamination and decommissioning of a manufacturing facility of organochlorine pesticide—a material similar in structure to agents used in chemical weapons—for a multinational chemicals corporation. Years of production of this toxic chemical and by-products such as dioxins and furans resulted in widespread contamination of vessels, piping, and facility structures. We developed detailed designs for the decontamination and decommissioning procedures, provided quality assurance/quality control oversight and testing, and conducted a benchmark study to evaluate industry standards for similar decommissioning projects. We ensured that all activities were conducted in accordance with applicable regulations and permits, and provided an experienced team to guide the planning and implementation of this complex decommissioning job.

Investigating the Toxic Gas Release at Bhopal. Following the tragic incident at Bhopal, ICF International assisted in investigating the cause of the toxic gas release. The subsequent runaway reaction was carefully analyzed and, after evaluating the root causes, corrective actions were implemented and engineering controls installed. Our tasks included reviewing the original plant design and that of its sister plants in the United States, inspecting the Bhopal facility and its operating records, and performing laboratory experiments to evaluate the reaction kinetics.

 

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