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ICF Consulting Study Questions Timing of U.S. Utilities' Withdrawal from Europe

European Power Sector Faces Investment Boom

FAIRFAX, VA, May 13, 2002 - ICF Consulting analysis has shown that the European power markets are about to experience a major upswing, just as a number of U.S.-owned power companies pack up and leave.

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European Wholesale Power Outlook 2002
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Many U.S. power companies have found the European markets to be an uncomfortable place to do business with excess production capacity, high valuations being placed on assets, and strong competition from the entrenched European utilities. However, with environmental pressure tightening on the European power sector, particularly constraints on carbon emissions, a massive investment in new power stations will be needed over the next few years to meet energy needs. With their painfully won knowledge of the European markets, trading structures already in place, and more merchant project development and financing experience than European rivals, the U.S. companies could be major beneficiaries of the European situation.

Simon Allen, President of ICF Consulting Europe, said, "The U.S. power companies seem to be retreating at exactly the wrong time. The perception of U.S. investors has been shaped by low returns over the last few years and uncertainty regarding the evolution of competitive and liquid power markets in Europe. However, our analysis shows substantial opportunities exist in the future for attractive generation investments as the European markets react to environmental pressures."

Managing consultant Neil Cornelius added, "With excess generating capacity and generally low prices, the European power sector seems an unlikely candidate for a surge in investment. However, the strong desire of the European Governments to meet ambitious Kyoto emission reduction targets will change the picture in a dramatic fashion. We estimate that up to $90 billion will have to be invested in order to cut power sector carbon dioxide emissions and meet national renewable generation targets."

ICF International (Nasdaq: ICFI) partners with government and commercial clients to deliver consulting services and technology solutions in the energy, environment, transportation, social programs, defense, and homeland security markets. The firm combines passion for its work with industry expertise and innovative analytics to produce compelling results throughout the entire program life cycle, from analysis and design through implementation and improvement. Since 1969, ICF has been serving government at all levels, major corporations, and multilateral institutions. More than 1,800 employees serve these clients worldwide. ICF’s Web site is http://www.icfi.com.

 

For Immediate Release
United Kingdom Contact: Kim Keats Martinez
Tel: 44 (0) 20.7092.3006

United States Contact: Douglas Beck
Tel: 1.703.934.3820


 

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