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ICF International provides market assessments for a variety
of industries related to the markets we
serve. The firm is particularly distinguished by its three
decades of experience in analyzing all aspects of the energy industry.
In the energy sector, ICF International's market assessments
often challenge conventional wisdom.
- ICF International forecast in 1996—when prices were
in the $75 range—that SO2 emissions allowance prices
would rise to the $200 range by the year 2000. Long-term
forecasts at the time diverged widely. Ours were right.
- We were also right about NOx allowance prices—because
we recognized technology developments and market fundamentals
that escaped the attention of others. In late 1998, we warned
that prices were unsupportably high. Prices collapsed by
the following summer.
ICF International knows the electric power, natural gas, and
air emissions markets inside and out. Our market assessments
and forecasts rest on proprietary models, analytic methods,
and databases developed through more than 25 years of experience
in these markets. Thanks to the institutional knowledge captured
in these models and methods, our consultants produce insights
far beyond what any team of analysts, no matter how smart
and experienced, could offer on their own.
Our clients benefit from assessments and forecasts with a
history of accuracy, reliability, and thoroughness. They also
benefit from evaluations that integrate technology, economics,
policy, and regulation. Companies, industry associations,
and regulatory bodies throughout North America and Europe
use ICF International market assessments to craft strategy, take
advantage of emerging opportunities, and maximize profitability.
ICF International specializes in assessments of markets whose
importance increases each year as global energy and environmental
conditions, regulatory frameworks, economics, and industry
structures evolve.
- Wholesale Electric Power—ICF International's
Integrated Planning Model
(IPM®) simulates the electric power markets providing
forecasts for power prices, unit dispatch levels, fuel use,
emissions allowance prices, regional transmission flows,
and operating reserve market prices. The model provides
a comprehensive representation of the fundamental parameters
affecting the wholesale power markets in order to provide
a high quality and accurate price forecasts. The forecasting
success of the IPM model is well known for a variety of
analyses including regulatory analysis, litigation support
analysis, financial due diligence reviews, integrated resource
planning, real options value decision analysis, and project
screening analysis.
- Natural Gas—ICF International's Gas Market Model (GMM®) is the most reliable, efficient, and comprehensive
analytical tool now available to assess the broad range
of natural gas issues currently confronting participants
and stakeholders in the North American energy market. Our
model enables local distribution companies to identify
the least cost mix of pipeline, storage, peak shaving, and
load shaping.
- NOx Allowances—We
analyze NOx market trends for decision-making
about emissions trading, corporate strategy, acquisitions,
and environmental compliance. ICF International combines sophisticated
analytical tools with unsurpassed market intelligence.
- SO2 Allowances—Our
assessments of SO2 markets are designed for coal
unit generation owners, environmental compliance planners,
allowance traders, wholesale power traders, and coal market
players.
- Carbon
Emissions Credits—Climate change will
be one of the key strategic issues facing industry worldwide
in coming decades. ICF International assesses the effects of
greenhouse gas emissions limitations on industry sectors
and individual companies. Progressive companies recognize
that there can be value in their carbon assets. With our
distinctive combination of expertise in energy markets and
in climate change regulatory issues, we can provide the
insights needed to manage potential risks and seize opportunities
under future carbon policies.
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