The
Industry's Only Multi-Sectoral Analysis of
Emission, Fuel, Renewable Energy, and Power Markets
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While Congress is pressed to move forward with climate
and energy legislation, EPA is advancing regulations
under existing legislation that are likely to transform
the U.S. power sector. Resulting changes could increase
demands on fuel markets, complicate reliability assurance,
and force generation owners to make strategic investment
and retirement decisions without further resolution
on the future of carbon regulation.
To assist decision-makers in addressing these challenges,
ICF provides the most current forecasts for emission,
fuels, renewable energy, and power markets the latest
release of the quarterly ICF Integrated Energy
Outlook. This analysis provides an integrated
perspective of energy markets that captures the dynamic
impacts of these critical issues.
Emission Market Issues
What will be the key drivers of CO2 allowance prices
under the Kerry-Lieberman proposal (S.1733)?
What role will offsets play in a future regulatory
regime?
How will EPA's regulations interact with cap and
trade legislation?
What does the future hold for the growing Acid
Rain Program SO2 allowance bank?
What will be the implications for future SO2 and
NOX prices if banked allowances cannot be carried
forward into a new program?
What is the interaction between potentially tighter
SO2 and NOX controls and a looming carbon policy?
How many mercury controls will be required under
a federal MACT program?
Gas Market Issues
How is gas demand responding to current conditions
in the broader U.S. economy? How will gas prices
respond during the recovery?
How are basis differentials developing given recent
development in supply and pipeline projects?
Will production from the shales change the future
of the gas market?
Coal Market Issues
Will coal markets recover from the recession?
Will the U.S. become a major player in global coal
markets?
How will CO2 regulations shift production
and consumption trends?
Power Market Issues
When will power prices begin to recover?
What is the outlook for on-peak spark spreads regionally?
How much does environmental policy affect regional
price differences?
Renewable Energy Market Issues
How will states meet renewable energy requirements
under current state renewable portfolio standards
(RPS)? Under a potential federal standard?
What is the expected expansion trajectory for wind,
solar, biomass, landfill gas, and geothermal generating
capacity?
How will renewable energy credit (REC) prices respond
to rising demand from rising state renewables mandates?
Rising CO2 prices?
The ICF Approach
ICF International has decades of experience providing
unmatched integrated energy market analysis services.
Our analytical platform, the Integrated Planning Model
(IPM®), is the preeminent tool for providing projections
of power, coal, natural gas, renewable energy, and
emissions market prices.
