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Pandemic Preparedness

ICF International is engaged in developing pandemic flu preparedness plans by addressing the needed coordination among all levels of government and the private sector, and testing or exercising the plans in numerous communities/regions. This assistance results in more efficient use of budgets for pandemic planning and ultimately boosts a community's level of preparedness.

ICF has a comprehensive understanding of the complex issues facing public health departments, business, and the public. Concerns regarding outbreaks of pandemic flu require preparedness efforts to be enchanced. ICF has worked for several state and local public health departments and federal agencies to improve their programs to address bioterrorism outbreaks, conduct exercises to test their access to the Strategic National Stockpile (SNS) of vaccines, and prepare for pandemic events.

A pandemic influenza occurs when a virus (usually originating or preexisting in one or more species of bird) evolves or mutates into a form that can infect and also be transmitted by people.

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Pandemic diseases have occurred throughout history. One of the worst on record, a strain known as the "Spanish influenza," caused the death of an estimated 40 to 50 million people worldwide in 1918. Less virulent pandemic influenzas occurred in 1957 and 1968, taking a combined 3 million lives. By contrast, in a more typical year, 250,000 to 500,000 people die from influenza or other respiratory-related illnesses.

There is a limit to what government or the health care community can do in advance of a pandemic outbreak. The U.S. Federal Government, the World Health Organization, and others are monitoring the avian, as well as other pandemic threat sources closely. The United States has active national as well as international programs for manufacturing, pre-positioning, and stockpiling antiviral drugs, masks, and other supplies. However, work on a specific vaccine generally cannot take place until a virus strain that infects people is identified and isolated. From that point, most experts agree that the development of an effective vaccine can take six months or more.

The next pandemic event could result in 180 to 360 million fatalities (up to 1.9 million in the United States alone) over what could be an 18-month crisis. In addition, health care providers and other industries on which the economy depends (e.g., financial, transportation, information technology) could be crippled by the absence of up to 40 percent of their workforce as employees become ill.

So, what more can we do to prepare? Preparedness makes the most difference at the local community level because this is where any lack of preparedness is felt most acutely. As demonstrated in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, communication and coordination between the communities, the federal government, state governments, and the private sector are essential to a successful disaster response.

In the United States, Secretary Leavitt of the Department of Health and Human Services (DHS) has stated that "any community that fails to prepare—with the expectation that the federal government can come to the rescue—will be tragically wrong" (April 10, 2006). So, the ultimate question is: are the communities prepared? In order to demonstrate preparedness, the communities need to have realistic plans covering functions such as:

And these plans cannot just be "shelf art." Instead, they need to reflect the roles of all the key players, including local health departments, law enforcement, private health care providers (physicians, nurses, hospitals, health maintenance organizations, emergency medical technicians, etc.), other businesses, and schools. Just as importantly, the plans need to be "exercised" to demonstrate their viability in addressing above functions. The states have developed plans; their communities are currently doing the same and are seeking assistance to achieve effective results. Whether they are adequately prepared is an open question.

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USDA Avian Influenza Playbook

ICF International assisted the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service, in developing a "playbook" outlining roles and responsibilities for various federal agencies in detecting and responding to multiple scenarios regarding outbreak of avian influenza among bird populations. The Playbook was intended for use by a committee of senior federal officials (i.e., Deputy and Assistant Secretaries) to improve coordination among key players in the Executive Branch. ICF reviewed USDA's Interim Avian Influenza Response Plan and provided recommendations for reorganizing the plan to conform with standard format and terminology of Homeland Security Presidential Directives 5 (Management of Domestic Incidents) and 8 (National Preparedness). ICF also developed a graphic concept illustrating the Nation's strategy for preparing, detecting, and responding to an outbreak of pandemic influenza.

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Pandemic Influenza Plan Development

ICF International is assisting Montgomery County, New York, in developing an annex to the county's comprehensive emergency management plan to enhance preparedness for a pandemic event. This is a collaborative effort with the state's Disaster Preparedness Commission, the State Office of Homeland Security, and the State Emergency Management Office. The evolving state plan will parallel the national strategy for responding to pandemic influenza. However, an effective plan also should reflect the unique characteristics of local communities. Therefore, each New York county has been requested to develop and submit a Pandemic Influenza Plan. Specifically, the plan will identify the roles, responsibilities, and activities of the local health department during a pandemic.

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New York Public Health Drills and Exercises

For New York State Department of Health (NYSDOH), ICF developed a toolkit for public health drills and exercises in an effort to build consistency and sustainability in the statewide public health exercise program. The toolkit also is being disseminated to the hospitals and emergency management agencies. NYSDOH created subcommittees for each of five public health threat scenarios. The subcommittees were made up of state and local public health experts. ICF, along with the subcommittees, developed the scenarios including Chempack, Pandemic Flu, Environmental Health Incident, Biological Detection System (BDS), and Mass Fatalities. ICF is conducting more than 20 exercises in the summer of 2006, the majority of which involve a pandemic flu scenario.

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Virtual Pandemic Flu Exercise for the State of Iowa

ICF supported the Iowa Department of Public Health (IDPH) and the State of Iowa's six public healthcare regions in developing and executing a virtual functional exercise (VFX) to test objectives consistent with Iowa's Statewide Domestic Preparedness Strategy. The exercise, which took place over a three-week period from March 31 through April 18, 2006, was designed to specifically test the Iowa state and local public health and medical plans for response to pandemic flu. Exercise participants included the IDPH and representatives from local public health departments, emergency medical services, hospitals, and emergency management agencies from the six regions across the state. The "virtual" nature of the exercise allowed exercise participants to continue to work from their normal places of business, where they responded to message injects submitted via e-mail, telephone, or fax through a simulation cell.

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Integrated Statewide Exercise Program Support

ICF supported both the Massachusetts Department of Health and the Executive Office of Public Safety in their development of an Integrated Statewide Exercise Program. This program:

    (1) involved coordination among the various relevant agencies, including the Department of Public Health, and community response agencies and partners (i.e., hospitals, EMS providers, and community health centers

    (2) built state capacity to carry out exercises by utilizing a cycle of exercise activities of varying degrees of complexity

    (3) involved exercise scenarios that focus on hazardous materials, bioterrorism, and weapons of mass destruction events

    (4) enhanced the state's overall level of preparedness

A total of 40 tabletop and functional exercises were conducted.

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Integrated Emergency Management Course for the Metropolitan Medical Response System

For Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), ICF developed and conducted Integrated Emergency Management Course (IEMC) programs for Metropolitan Medical Response System (MMRS) communities across the country. Exercise development involved close coordination with local responders such as fire, police, EMS, public health, hospitals, and emergency management to obtain copies of plans, procedures, and insight into each jurisdiction's capabilities.

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Smallpox Vaccination Exercises for the State of Iowa

ICF supported Linn County, the Iowa Department of Public Health, and the State of Iowa in developing and delivering six tabletop exercises and a full scale terrorism chemical-biological exercise to test regional capabilities to implement mass smallpox vaccination plans and hospital chemical decontamination plans. The exercises were conducted in two phases with a total of six counties and more than 1,200 persons participating. Six hospitals exercised their chemical decontamination plans, and six emergency vaccination clinics exercised their mass vaccination procedures. The exercise play included activation and operation of one public health clinic in each of the participating counties to administer the smallpox vaccine to the public.

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Emergency Response and Crisis Management Technical Assistance (ERCM TA) Center

ICF Caliber, an ICF International Company, operates the U.S. Department of Education (ED) Emergency Response and Crisis Management (ERCM) Technical Assistance (TA) Center, ensuring safety and security for the whole school community, including students, staff, and visitors with disabilities and special needs. The ERCM TA Center assists local education agencies (LEA) to build their emergency preparedness capacity at both the district and school building level. The ERCM TA Center provides training and resources focused on schools developing all-hazards plans framed within the four phases of emergency response (mitigation/prevention, preparedness, response, and recovery). LEAs also are provided with guidance for developing community partnerships with local law enforcement, public safety, public health, and mental health agencies for collaboration in all emergency preparedness activities (i.e., functional exercises). The ERCM Center works closely with the U.S. Department of Education and designated federal agency partners to provide all-hazards assistance. Currently, the ERCM TA Center is working with ED and staff from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) Centers for Disease Control to provide schools guidance to address the pandemic flu as one component of the all-hazards school emergency plan.

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