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Perspectives 2005
 
Spring/Summer 2005 Energy Issue
 
Putting U.S. "Market Power" Tests Into Perspective
The Worldwide Oil Market: Are High Oil Prices Here to Stay?
States Move Forward to Control CO2 Emissions
Analyzing the Price of Carbon in 2008-2012:
Its Widespread Impacts

Creating a Winning Demand Side Management Program
The U.S. EPA's New Clean Air Rules: Impact on Market Participants

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Creating a Winning Demand Side Management (DSM) Program

Utility demand side management (DSM) is on the rise again, driven by regulatory requirements tied to new power plant construction, rate and restructuring case settlements, and concerns with rising natural prices. While many utilities once maintained in-house experts to design and administer energy efficiency programs for their customers, much of that capacity has long since been dismantled as utilities slimmed down and redeployed resources in anticipation of industry restructuring.

Working with a number of these companies over the past year, ICF International has developed a proprietary business process model that helps utilities put effective DSM programs into practice, minimizing time and money invested and lessening the impact on their core utility business.

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This article was published in the Spring/Summer 2005 issue of Perspectives.

Please refer to our Terms of Use policy regarding acceptable use of content on the ICF International Web site.


Business Process Requirements

Utility DSM programs should be designed and run to serve three critical requirements:

Physical performance. The delivery of an energy efficiency resource of specified magnitude within a specified time frame

Financial performance. The delivery of the resource at or below projected cost within a system of well-defined financial controls

Performance quality. A metric using the programs to maximize customer satisfaction while protecting/enhancing the utility’s brand, meeting/exceeding regulatory requirements, and minimizing impacts on the rest of the organization

DSM Business Process Model

Elements of the Model

The three performance requirements establish the context for the specific elements of the process: Planning, Procurement, Implementation, and Management.

Planning defines the specific business process requirements for the DSM initiative. The process itself need not be cumbersome or resource intensive, but it must yield six specific outcomes.

1) The right business model. Cost recovery, the availability of incentives, and corporate business processes and organization combine to define the right model. The cost-minimizing/profit-maximizing model for many utilities is one that relies, to the maximum extent practical, on outsourcing most program design and implementation activities within a performance-based system.

2) A clear set of portfolio objectives. The typical portfolio must balance program performance risks, regulatory interests, costs, customer satisfaction goals, and the imperatives of the business model.

3) A "sufficient" understanding of DSM potential. Although a utility can spend upwards of US$250,000 to study DSM potential, almost invariably the largest areas of potential savings are in residential lighting, commercial and industrial (C&I) lighting, C&I heating, ventilation, air conditioning (HVAC), and industrial processes. Resources are better invested in understanding local markets and program design, rather than on estimating potential.

4) An initial set of program concepts. A best-practice starter portfolio begins with a core set of programs targeting broad market segments with straightforward, measure-based incentives. As experience is gained, more targeted and complex programs can be added. Every portfolio based even in part on demand reduction should include load management and demand response as a performance hedge.

5) Initial program designs. The planning process should yield initial program designs that outline the utility’s expectations for branding, marketing, incentive, and implementation strategies, customer relationship management, and verification and should set performance targets and budgets.

6) Management and evaluation plans. The utility’s DSM business model will dictate the management approach that is feasible. The greater the reliance on outsourcing, the greater the importance of tracking and evaluation systems that boost management productivity. The management plan also should define an implementation schedule compatible with management resources.

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Procurement acquires the resources needed to support successful implementation and is a critical process that is often underplanned and undermanaged. Evaluation resources should be acquired first—they are critical to efficient design of programs and performance tracking systems. Secondly, utilities should acquire the expertise to design and build the core portfolio management and tracking system, a system that must be in place before program launch. The third step is to structure all program implementation contracts with performance incentives that provide an upside for beating physical and financial performance targets and mitigate the utility’s financial exposure to performance risk. Finally, the procurement process is staged to avoid taxing limited management resources and ensure that the programs most critical to meeting performance targets are launched first.

Implementation delivers physical performance against financial performance and performance quality constraints. If the planning and procurement stages have been executed effectively, utility implementation activity focuses primarily on integrating activities of implementation contractors with existing customer service and account management functions.

Management monitors performance relative to metrics. For utilities with business models that require outsourcing of most functions, the centerpiece of effective and resource-efficient management is the core portfolio tracking system. Properly designed and used, this system literally substitutes for internal program management staff. The system should be Web based to enable close to real-time entry of project data, provide program activity tracking by stage, incorporate trending/forecasting capability to enable managers to “look ahead” at program performance based on the project pipeline, and track portfolio budgets and costs. Key metrics—denominated in megawatt hours (MWh) and/or kilowatts (kW)—include performance by stage versus goal, the length of time projects spend in the pipeline, the ratio of project leads to project completions, and cost per performance unit. A program management guide, developed at the beginning of the implementation stage, identifies critical methods and the reporting structure.

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The Results

Using ICF International’s model, a comprehensive starter portfolio of programs can be implemented for less than US$800 per kW. Total portfolio management costs—including contracting support for planning, evaluation, tracking system development, and management support—will run between 10 and 15 percent of total portfolio costs. At the same time, the model can reduce internal staff requirements to approximately two to four professional full-time employees (FTE), depending on the number of programs offered. In one ongoing implementation of ICF International’s DSM business process model, a utility is managing a $43-million portfolio of 13 programs designed to capture 55MW, employing the equivalent of three professional FTEs. By comparison, a standard program management approach typically would require eight full-time professional program managers and planners. The result is an annual savings of close to $500,000 in internal labor costs.

Learn more about ICF International’s energy efficiency and demand side management capabilities.

 

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